SUMMARYChantal emerged in the Atlantic on Wed., August 15, as Tropical Depression 4, and moved quickly toward the Windward Islands. On Thursday morning the system was upgraded to a tropical storm, then downgraded to a tropical wave by the afternoon. On Fri., August 17, Chantal re-formed and became a strong tropical storm, pelting islands in the northwest Caribbean near Jamaica with wind and rain over the weekend. On Mon., August 20, Tropical Storm Chantal made landfall at Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula. Chantal became a depression on Tues., and dissipated as it moved inland on Wed., August 22. Tropical Storm Chantal reached highest sustained winds of 65mph and a lowest central pressure of 994MB. ********************************************* DETAILS ************************************** 255 WTNT34 KNHC 221512 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 10 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2001 ...CORRECT SPELLING OF RESERVE IN SECOND PARAGRAPH... ...CHANTAL RE-LOCATED AND DISSIPATING... AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS AND WATCHES FOR THE MEXICAN GULF COAST. INTERESTS IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE SHOULD MAINTAIN PRECAUTIONS UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...DATA FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT AND VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATED THAT THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL WAS NEAR LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.5 WEST OR ABOUT 30 MILES...45 KM...SOUTHEAST OF VILLAHERMOSA MEXICO. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD KEEP THE CENTER OF THE CYCLONE OVER LAND. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...MAINLY OVER THE WATER TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER. CHANTAL IS NOW EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1009 MB...29.80 INCHES. EVEN THOUGH CHANTAL IS DISSIPATING...THE THREAT OF HEAVY RAINS CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO AND CENTRAL AMERICA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS...WHICH COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...17.7 N... 92.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST SOUTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FORECASTER BEVEN ******************************** 08-21-2000 ******************************** 249 WTNT34 KNHC 211153 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 23A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 7 AM CDT TUE AUG 21 2001 ...CHANTAL RESUMES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION ACROSS YUCATAN... A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO CANCUN...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF COASTAL BELIZE...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE GULF COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM PROGRESO TO CARMEN. AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...SURFACE OBSERVATIONS AND RADAR REPORTS INDICATE THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.8 WEST OR ABOUT 35 MILES... 55 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO. CHANTAL IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH. A CONTINUED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION AT AN INCREASED FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...CHANTAL WOULD EMERGE INTO THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO BY WEDNESDAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHANTAL IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WEAKENING AS IT CROSSES THE YUCATAN PENINSULA TODAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES ...280 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 3 FEET...ACCOMPANIED BY BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND NORTH OF THE BELIZE/MEXICO BORDER TODAY. IN ADDITION...STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 1 TO 2 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG PORTIONS OF THE GULF COAST OF YUCATAN BY LATE TODAY AND ON WEDNESDAY. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 15 TO 20 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE POSSIBLE ALONG AND NEAR THE PATH OF CHANTAL. LOCALIZED FLOODING ...ESPECIALLY NEAR COASTAL AREAS...CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY. REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.4 N... 88.8 W. MOVEMENT... WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 10 AM CDT. FORECASTER BEVEN ******************************** 08-20-2000 ******************************** 782 WTNT34 KNHC 200844 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 19 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT MON AUG 20 2001 ...CHANTAL CONTINUES TO MOVE TOWARD THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF COASTAL BELIZE...AND FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM THE MEXICO/BELIZE BORDER NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BELIZE CITY NORTHWARD TO CANCUN. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. HOWEVER...WARNINGS MAY BE DISCONTINUED FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS LATER TODAY. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.8 WEST OR ABOUT 245 MILES...395 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO. THIS LOCATION IS ALSO JUST WEST OF SWAN ISLAND. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH ...24 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 200 MILES ...325 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...17.3 N... 84.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART ******************************** 08-19-2000 ******************************** 497 WTNT34 KNHC 190843 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SUN AUG 19 2001 ...CHANTAL SLOWS DOWN AND STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR JAMAICA AND THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES IN EFFECT FOR BELIZE...AND FOR THE YUCATAN PENINSULA FROM CHETUMAL TO CANCUN. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS DISCONTINUED THE HURRICANE WATCH FOR ALL OF JAMAICA. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST OR ABOUT OR ABOUT 315 MILES...505 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 205 MILES...330 KM...SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 12 MPH ...19 KM/HR... AND A GENERAL MOTION TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR SO. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND CHANTAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES ...230 KM...MAINLY NORTH AND EAST FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...15.5 N... 78.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 12 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER STEWART ******************************** 08-18-2000 ******************************** 453 WTNT34 KNHC 180843 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001 ...CHANTAL CONTINUING QUICKLY WESTWARD...HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR JAMAICA... AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...685 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 275 MILES...440 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CHANTAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3-5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS STORM. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.8 N... 71.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN 865 WTNT34 KNHC 180852 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM AST SAT AUG 18 2001 ...CORRECTED MOTION FORECAST SECTION... ...CHANTAL CONTINUING QUICKLY WESTWARD...HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR JAMAICA... AT 5 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF JAMAICA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR JAMAICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS. AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.3 WEST OR ABOUT 425 MILES...685 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 275 MILES...440 KM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC. CHANTAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 23 MPH...37 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL WEST TO WEST-NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH... 95 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...AND CHANTAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY OR SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES ...185 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF CHANTAL. ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS STORM. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...14.8 N... 71.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 23 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 60 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN ******************************** 08-17-2000 ******************************** 016 WTNT34 KNHC 171453 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL ADVISORY NUMBER 8 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST FRI AUG 17 2001 ...CHANTAL REFORMS IN THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA... AN AIR FORCE PLANE FOUND A SMALL CLOSED CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH THE REMNANTS OF CHANTAL AND ADVISORIES ARE BEING RESUMED. AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.2 NORTH... LONGITUDE 65.2 WEST OR ABOUT 365 MILES...590 KM... SOUTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 26 MPH ...43 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CHANTAL COULD REGAIN TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH LATER TODAY OR SATURDAY. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS 1010 MB...29.83 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...13.2 N... 65.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 26 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER AVILA ******************************** 08-16-2000 ******************************** 132 WTNT34 KNHC 161135 TCPAT4 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 4A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM AST THU AUG 16 2001 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION BECOMES CHANTAL...THIRD TROPICAL STORM OF THE SEASON... A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS AND ST. VINCENT ...AND ST. LUCIA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE GRENADINES AND DOMINICA. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE ISSUED FOR MARTINIQUE LATER THIS MORNING. EARLY VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED AND HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL. AT 8 AM AST... 1200Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHANTAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.0 WEST OR ABOUT 370 MILES...595 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 28 MPH...44 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION SHOULD BRING THE CENTER NEAR THE WINDWARD ISLANDS TONIGHT. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR STRENGTHENING...AND CHANTAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA LATER TODAY. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS...ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF CHANTAL. REPEATING THE 8 AM AST POSITION...12.9 N... 54.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 28 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER AVILA © 2001 FIU High Performance Database Research Center |