SUMMARYADV LAT LON TIME WIND PR STAT 1 33.90 -66.50 10/12/21Z 35 988 SUBTROPICAL STORM 2 34.40 -65.90 10/13/03Z 55 988 SUBTROPICAL STORM 3 35.20 -65.00 10/13/09Z 55 988 TROPICAL STORM 4 37.00 -64.50 10/13/15Z 60 986 TROPICAL STORM 5 37.60 -64.60 10/13/21Z 65 985 HURRICANE-1 6 38.30 -63.90 10/14/03Z 65 985 HURRICANE-1 7 39.10 -63.60 10/14/09Z 70 982 HURRICANE-1 8 39.50 -63.30 10/14/15Z 65 985 HURRICANE-1 9 40.80 -64.20 10/14/21Z 55 992 TROPICAL STORM 10 41.40 -64.40 10/15/03Z 50 996 TROPICAL STORM 11 43.20 -65.00 10/15/09Z 45 999 TROPICAL STORM 12 45.20 -64.10 10/15/15Z 40 997 TROPICAL STORM WIND is in knots PR is pressure in milibars (mb) or hectopascals (hPa) SUMMARYThe season's first stubtropical storm ultimately churned into Hurricane Karen. Subtropical Storm 1 formed northwest of Bermuda on Oct. 12. Subtropical storms combine characteristics of both tropical cyclones and wintertime cyclones, and very often become tropical storms or hurricanes. In this case, it took only 24 hours for the system to organize into a hurricane. Karen spun northward through the Atlantic Ocean. It reached peak intensity on October 14, when its maximum sustained winds measured 80 mph. Karen weakened to a tropical storm the day before it moved over Nova Scotia. Hurricane Karen reached Maximum Sustained Winds of 80mph and a Minimum Central Pressure of 982mb on October 14th, 2001. ******************************************** DETAILS ************************************** 724 WTNT33 KNHC 151427 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST MON OCT 15 2001 ...KAREN MOVES OVER NOVA SCOTIA AND IS BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 45.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 64.1 WEST. THIS POSITION IS OVER NOVA SCOTIA ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...NORTHWEST OF HALIFAX. KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/HR ...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY AS KAREN BECOMES EXTRATROPICAL...MERGES WITH A TROUGH IN THE WESTERLIES...AND LOSES ITS IDENTITY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...OVER THE WATER SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM ...TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...45.2 N... 64.1 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NORTHEAST NEAR 21 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 997 MB. THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FORECASTER LAWRENCE *********************************************10-14-2001************************************* 703 WTNT33 KNHC 140825 TCPAT3 BULLETIN HURRICANE KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 7 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM AST SUN OCT 14 2001 ...KAREN STRENGTHENING SLIGHTLY...MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD NOVA SCOTIA... AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.6 WEST OR ABOUT 390 MILES...630 KM...SOUTH OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA. KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED EXPECTED LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES... 55 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 185 MILES...295 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHERN COASTAL REGIONS OF NOVA SCOTIA LATER TODAY. REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...39.1 N... 63.6 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM AST. FORECASTER STEWART *********************************************10-13-2001************************************* 824 WTNT33 KNHC 130835 TCPAT3 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM KAREN ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 AM EDT SAT OCT 13 2001 ...SUBTROPICAL STORM ONE BECOMES TROPICAL STORM KAREN... SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT SUBTROPICAL STORM ONE NOW HAS ENOUGH ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TO BE CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL STORM. AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAREN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 35.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 65.0 WEST OR ABOUT 200 MILES...320 KM...NORTH OF BERMUDA. THIS IS ALSO ABOUT 665 MILES...1070 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF SABLE ISLAND NOVA SCOTIA. KAREN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND A GENERAL NORTHEAST TO NORTH-NORTHEAST MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES ...370 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...35.2 N... 65.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FORECASTER BEVEN *********************************************10-12-2001************************************* 519 WTNT33 KNHC 122048 TCPAT3 BULLETIN SUBTROPICAL STORM ONE ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM EDT FRI OCT 12 2001 ...SUBTROPICAL STORM FORMS NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA... SATELLITE IMAGERY AND REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THAT THE NON-TROPICAL STORM CENTER NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA IS GRADUALLY ACQUIRING SOME TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS AND HAS BECOME A SUBTROPICAL STORM. A SUBTROPICAL STORM COMBINES CHARACTERISTICS OF BOTH TROPICAL CYCLONES AND WINTERTIME CYCLONES. SUBTROPICAL STORMS VERY OFTEN COMPLETE THE TRANSITION AND BECOME TROPICAL STORMS OR HURRICANES. AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ONE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.5 WEST OR ABOUT 150 MILES...240 KM...NORTHWEST OF BERMUDA. THE STORM IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 9 MPH ...15 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WHILE LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...THIS SYSTEM COULD CONTINUE TO BECOME MORE TROPICAL IN NATURE...AND IF IT DOES SO WILL BE GIVEN THE NAME KAREN. WINDS OF GALE FORCE...40 MPH...EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS 988 MB...29.18 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...33.9 N... 66.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM EDT. FORECASTER FRANKLIN © 2001 FIU High Performance Database Research Center |