SUMMARYOLGA FORMED FROM A NON-TROPICAL LOW THAT BECAME A SUBTROPICAL STORM ABOUT 900 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA ON NOVEMBER 24TH. THE STORM MOVED NORTHWEST TO WESTWARD FOR A DAY OR SO. ON THE 26TH, THE CYCLONE BECAME A TROPICAL STORM AND THEN A HURRICANE ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF BERMUDA. OLGA SLOWED, MEANDERED. AND EXECUTED A COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP ON THE 27TH. AFTER WHICH IT STRENGTHENED TO A PEAK INTENSITY NEAR 90 MPH. OLGA MADE ANOTHER COUNTERCLOCKWISE LOOP ON THE 28TH, AND THEN WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL STORM WHILE MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD ON THE 29TH. THE SYSTEM WEAKENED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON THE 30TH WHILE LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES EAST OF THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS STILL MAINTAINING TROPICAL CYCLONE STATUS AT THE END OF THE REGULAR SEASON. OLGA TURNED NORTHWESTWARD ON DECEMBER 1ST, THEN TURNED NORTHWARD AND REGAINED TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH ABOUT 550 MILES EAST OF THE BAHAMAS ON THE 2ND. HURRICANE OLGA REACHED MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS OF 90MPH AND A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 973MB. ******************************************** DETAILS ************************************** 200 WTNT32 KNHC 042032 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 41 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST TUE DEC 04 2001 ...OLGA CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...ADVISORIES BEING DISCONTINUED... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE ILL-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 67.2 WEST OR ABOUT 665 MILES...1070 KM...EAST OF NASSAU. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH ... 6 KM/HR. THE REMNANTS OF OLGA ARE EXPECTED TO TURN TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 30 MPH... 45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLGA IS DISSIPATING TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...26.8 N...67.2 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 30 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB. THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON OLGA UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN THE FOLLOWING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PRODUCTS...HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC...AND OFFSHORE WATERS FORECASTS ISSUED UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIAOFFNT3 AND UNDER WMO HEADER FZNT23 KNHC. FORECASTER PASCH/AVILA *********************************************12-03-2001************************************* 102 WTNT32 KNHC 031428 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 36 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST MON DEC 03 2001 ...OLGA REMAINS NO THREAT TO LAND... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.8 WEST OR ABOUT 395 MILES...635 KM...SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR. A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLGA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES ...110 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...27.8 N... 69.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN *********************************************12-02-2001************************************* 351 WTNT32 KNHC 021422 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 32 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST SUN DEC 02 2001 ...OLGA STRENGTHENING AND BECOMING BETTER ORGANIZED EAST OF THE BAHAMAS...ONLY A THREAT TO SHIPPING... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST OR ABOUT 515 MILES...825 KM...EAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH... 13 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES ...140 KM FROM THE CENTER. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES. LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST BAHAMAS...AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...25.9 N... 69.3 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER STEWART *********************************************12-01-2001************************************* 926 WTNT32 KNHC 011419 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 28 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST SAT DEC 01 2001 ...OLGA LINGERS ON... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 68.5 WEST OR ABOUT 585 MILES...945 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF NASSAU IN THE BAHAMAS. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 6 MPH ... 9 KM/HR ...AND A SLOW MOSTLY WESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. OLGA IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO. THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...22.8 N... 68.5 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER LAWRENCE *********************************************11-30-2001************************************* 243 WTNT32 KNHC 301429 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 24 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST FRI NOV 30 2001 ...OLGA NOW A DEPRESSION...END OF HURRICANE SEASON IN SIGHT... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST OR ABOUT 665 MILES...1075 KM...EAST OF NASSUA IN THE BAHAMAS. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH ...28 KM/HR. A CONTINUATION OF THIS TRACK WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO SLOWLY DECREASE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WITH OLGA IS LIMITED...AND OLGA MAY WEAKEN TO A NON-TROPICAL AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...24.2 N... 66.8 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...WEST-SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER FRANKLIN *********************************************11-29-2001************************************* 353 WTNT32 KNHC 291431 TCPAT2 BULLETIN TROPICAL STORM OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 20 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST THU NOV 29 2001 ...OLGA MOVING SOUTHWESTWARD...WEAKENING EXPECTED... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.7 WEST OR ABOUT 380 MILES...610 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA. OLGA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR... AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT OLGA IS BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...AND SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 290 MILES ...465 KM FROM THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES. LARGE OCEAN SWELLS FROM OLGA CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...THE BAHAMAS...THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...28.1 N... 60.7 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN *********************************************11-28-2001************************************* 902 WTNT32 KNHC 281431 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST WED NOV 28 2001 ...OLGA MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWESTWARD... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.4 WEST OR ABOUT 485 MILES...780 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA. OLGA IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...AND A SLOW SOUTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. LARGE OCEAN SWELLS FROM HURRICANE OLGA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA...PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...THE BAHAMAS...THE GREATER ANTILLES AND THE NORTHERN LESSER ANTILLES DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...32.2 N... 56.4 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...SOUTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN *********************************************11-27-2001************************************* 368 WTNT32 KNHC 271432 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 11 AM AST TUE NOV 27 2001 ...OLGA DRIFTING EASTWARD WITH 85 MPH WINDS... AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH... LONGITUDE 57.0 WEST OR ABOUT 455 MILES...730 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA. OLGA IS LOOPING OR DRIFTING EASTWARD AT THIS TIME BUT NO SIGNIFICANT MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 85 MPH...140 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 345 MILES...555 KM. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 975 MB...28.79 INCHES. SWELLS FROM THE HURRICANE ARE LIKELY TO AFFECT BERMUDA...PORTIONS OF THE U.S. EAST COAST...THE BAHAMAS...AND THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN FROM HISPANIOLA EASTWARD DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...31.5 N...57.0 W. MOVEMENT DRIFTING EASTWARD. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 85 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...975 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 PM AST. FORECASTER AVILA *********************************************11-26-2001************************************* 009 WTNT32 KNHC 262035 TCPAT2 BULLETIN HURRICANE OLGA ADVISORY NUMBER 9 NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 5 PM AST MON NOV 26 2001 ...OLGA BECOMES THE NINTH HURRICANE OF THE 2001 HURRICANE SEASON... AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE OLGA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 56.0 WEST OR ABOUT 510 MILES...820 KM...EAST OF BERMUDA. OLGA IS NOW MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH... 9 KM/HR...AND A SLOW NORTHWARD TO NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME SLOW STRENGTHENING MAY OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 25 MILES... 35 KM... FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 415 MILES...665 KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 977 MB...28.85 INCHES. SHIP REPORTS INDICATE A VERY LARGE FIELD OF SEAS OF 12 FEET OR GREATER IS ASSOCIATED WITH OLGA. SWELLS FROM THE STORM ARE ALREADY REACHING BERMUDA AND PORTIONS OF THE U. S. MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THESE SWELLS WILL REACH THE BAHAMAS AND THE ISLANDS OF THE NORTHERN CARIBBEAN FROM HISPANIOLA EASTWARD LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT...AND REACH THE REMAINDER OF THE EASTERN COAST OF THE UNITED STATES OVER THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...31.5 N... 56.0 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 977 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST. FORECASTER BEVEN *********************************************11-25-2001************************************* no data available on this date... *********************************************11-24-2001************************************* no data available on this date... © 2001 FIU High Performance Database Research Center |